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Cake day: June 22nd, 2023

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  • It’s not vitriol. It’s questioning how this piece of the russian jigsaw puzzle fits in with everything else going on. Ukraine has has put Russia into a very desperate position, but the one card they kept trying to play throughout the conflict was "Don’t do that or we’ll get the nukes out. ". Repeatedly it’s been shown to be an empty threat (thankfully).

    So why would that suggest a new START now when their situation is deteriorating? Surely they’d want to keep this card in their hand.

    • Have they found that their nuclear arsenal is in the same kind of state as the rest of their military? I.e. broken under the weight of corruption in their society.

    • Are they worried about a future breakup of the government or state, and don’t want to lose control of nuclear material? Better to decommission it first.

    • is it a distraction from other events like the sanctions that are due in the US Congress? A delaying technique like the “Ukrainian peace plan”.

    Whatever it is, this is part of a larger situation and we shouldn’t take it at face value. That doesn’t mean you ignore it, just understand it.








  • I realise it’s a shot across the bow, but the intent seems to be to cause distress. Not to cause damage or steal secrets. Right now they seem to be achieving their goal.

    That’s why you’re a random rube on the internet and not a member of the Joint Chiefs.

    A fair point. They’ll be much better informed than me on what the real tangible threat is. All I’m saying is that it’s not clear to me what the threat is.








  • Every military ever.

    The concept that a soldier is able to disobey an illegal order is flawed. The first thing that happens to them is being thrown in jail awaiting court martial. It’s then on them to prove the order illegal be ause the presumption is that it was legal. It becomes one person against the whole military apparatus.

    The penalty if found guilty of refusing to obey orders? At minimum (in the US) a dishonorable discharge. At most a room on death row.

    I still think soldier should refuse illegal orders, but the system is setup so they don’t.