China surpassed the United States in global approval ratings in 2025, with a median of 36% approving of China’s leadership, compared with 31% for the U.S. China’s five-percentage-point advantage over the U.S. is the widest Gallup has recorded in China’s favor in nearly 20 years.



China has a 5 point lead in approval, and 11 point less disapproval than USA!
I think that’s a bit more than edging past. 5% is statistically more than significant, 11 point higher disapproval for USA is catastrophic for their desire to control global affairs.
It’s also notable that USA has declined the most among allies, meaning USA basically doesn’t have any allies that feel comfortable about it anymore. All allies are reluctant allies at best, apart from Israel that decidedly is exploiting USA. The very thing Trump and Vance has been so pissed about other allies doing even though they actually didn’t, but actually contributed to US global dominance, that is now coming to an abrupt end.
It’s not the world that is splitting between USA and China, but the world that is moving away from USA, and accept China more.