

Structural Disintegration (12–24 months): Key sectors—particularly energy, defence manufacturing, and logistics—face system-wide failures due to technological decay and manpower depletion. Inflation surges, and real incomes plummet.
Political-Economic Crisis (2+ years): Economic conditions begin to catalyse political instability, regional disobedience and elite fragmentation. Capital flight accelerates. The system becomes ungovernable except through martial rule and widespread purges.
I take this as Vlad can hold on at most 3 more years.
Put them on a bus to the Florida coast.