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Joined 3 years ago
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Cake day: June 9th, 2023

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  • Across the aisle repubs and dems are mostly pro-business, pro-trade

    Well, plenty of the MAGA republicans are pro-tectionist more than they are pro-trade. If he’d tried to pass new tariffs on day 1 of his administration there’s a chance that they might have had enough votes to do it. But, that was the slow way that required negotiating and compromise.

    Now that people have seen just how awful the tariffs are, I think a lot of the MAGA republicans wouldn’t pass the legislation. They could have claimed ignorance before the tariffs passed, but now it’s hard for them to argue with a straight face that they’ll be good for America.



  • They’re not really summarizing it. Summarizing means to express something in a more concise form. The original was a tweet, so if anything they un-summarized the bullet points in the tweet.

    But, I know the “newspaper articles” you mean, and they are much worse. They seem to specialize in talking around the content of the tweets, and the reaction to the tweets, and the reactions to those reactions. But, if you want to actually know the actual content of the original tweet you have to keep scrolling and scrolling as you pass ad after ad (hopefully you’re blocking the ads so you just get blank space after blank space). Those are so frustrating when all you want to know is what the actual tweet said.



  • Countries should be relatively self-reliant, as should cities, as should individual homes. It’s good to have a little garden if you can, and to be able to make bread from scratch if the supermarket is out of loaves.

    But, too much self-reliance is a miserable way to live. Try living on a subsistence farm, and see how much work that is. And even then, you’re not really self-reliant. You’re probably buying refined diesel for your tractor, a tractor you bought from a tractor manufacturer, and so on. On the other hand if a farmer specializes in just one crop, say wheat, they’re no longer self-sufficient, but they’re probably more efficient, and they use the money they get from selling wheat to buy corn, tomatoes, and carrots from other specialists.

    Not relying on other people has a major cost. It’s much less efficient, and much more work. In the modern world, it’s next to impossible. Even the Amish regularly buy and sell with the “English” world.

    It’s the same for countries. You can grow wine in England, and I’m sure some of it is good. But, it doesn’t have the climate that France or Spain do. Instead of every country producing its own wine and only consuming domestic wine, why not get higher quality wine from the countries best at making it, and export to them the things you’re best at producing.

    Sometimes, relying on other countries can lead to problems. When it works it’s cheaper and more efficient, but when it fails it can be bad. For example, Germany relied too much on cheap Russian gas. So, when Russia invaded Ukraine, Germany couldn’t fully boycott Russia and had to keep paying them for gas until it could totally rework its energy infrastructure. Otherwise Germans would freeze in the winter.

    But, Brexit was about leaving the EU. The EU isn’t just a bunch of random trade partners. Russia is in Europe, but was never part of the EU. There’s a reason why. Being part of the EU was supposed to also be a commitment to a common set of values: freedom, democracy, equality, human rights, etc. Not every country fully agreed with every other country’s interpretation of values. But, that’s ok, even within a country there were pretty major differences between people. Britain was part of the EU community, not merely a trade partner with EU countries.

    Being part of the EU allowed the UK to have access to oranges at the lowest possible cost. They had to rely on Spain to grow those oranges, but Spain and England share many of the same interests and values, so that should have been fine. In exchange, they could sell things to Spain that Spain didn’t produce locally, like whiskey.

    With Brexit, England still can’t grow oranges locally, and still has to import them from Spain. Spain still doesn’t make much whiskey locally, and has to import it from England, but now there are barriers. Oranges are a true unique advantage that Spain has. Almost no other country in Spain can grow them as well. For the UK, their specialty wasn’t as special. Sure, they have a lot of history with whisky, but pre-Brexit a lot of the specialization was finance, accounting, legal services, consulting, etc. That kind of expertise is easy to transfer to another country. It doesn’t require a special climate, just trained people. So, when Brexit happened and trade barriers went up, it was easy for a company in France to switch to a financial services company out of Switzerland instead, and it was easy for financial services experts in London to just pick up and move (often move back) to the EU.

    No country in the modern world is fully self-reliant, even North Korea trades with China. So, the real question is how self-reliant to be. Most people thought that the UK had it good. As one of the founding members of the EU it had managed to negotiate a few exceptions that were in its own interest. The British specialties of financial services, banking, insurance, accounting, consultancy, etc. were big revenue generators both from taxing the companies and from taxing the well paid white collar employees. The UK had a comparative advantage there not because of geography or climate, but just because of momentum. Companies were based out of London, and there was no reason to move, so that’s where they stayed. But, as time goes on, it’s likely that the slight friction between the UK and EU will mean that there will be a gradual migration out of London and over to Zurich, or Berlin or Paris.

    Finally, since the UK and EU values and culture are so similar, even though the UK can make its own laws on all kinds of things now, they are still largely following the EU laws. The UK is free to change its food labelling laws to be more similar to the US, for example. But, UK people still want laws more similar to Europe than the US. One example of this is female sanitary products (tampons, etc.). One change the UK made after Brexit was to eliminate the VAT on those. But, this isn’t because the UK cares more about women’s needs than the EU, and this required an extreme decision like Brexit. A push towards a zero rate is happening in many EU countries, it’s just going a bit slower.

    In the end, the UK has maybe gained a little more self reliance by leaving a community of like-minded countries. But, the result is a big hit to its economy. It now has the ability to change its laws and regulations to reflect British values instead of European values. But, for the most part, nothing much has changed because for the most part British values and European values are pretty similar. It still has to import oranges from Spain, there’s now just more paperwork. There are always tradeoffs. Often if the domestic manufacturing for something is small (say wine in the UK) it’s because another country has a comparative advantage. You can shore up UK wine-making, but if you do that you’re probably going to make wine more expensive for consumers, and probably make it lower quality as well. The EU is a community of like-minded countries that share interests and values, and has a lot of countries with pretty similar levels of economic development. Despite the rhetoric, Britons weren’t losing their jobs because of foreign labour. Brexit didn’t result in a big drop in the unemployment rate. It was already near historic lows. Basically, in the end, there was no need for Brexit, no advantage in Brexit, and a lot of costs once it was done.




  • I’m sure that for Taiwan and South Korea, China is the biggest threat. For Poland, the biggest threat is Russia. It’s obvious why the US is the biggest threat for Canada.

    Even if the border weren’t open and undefended, the two countries’ economies have been getting more and more integrated for decades. Canada’s economy depends on a stable and sane USA. For a long time that was a safe bet, but now the US is attacking Canada. And, even if it weren’t for the tariffs and other attacks, the absolute chaos that Trump is doing to the American economy would reverberate into Canada’s economy.

    Russia threatens European power. U.S. threatens the Western Hemisphere and

    It was nice of the CIA agent to hit “submit” after offing you.


  • I like the idea of working around the US. But, I don’t like that these trade deals are typically designed to help big businesses, not individuals. Like, even back in the good ol’ days when NAFTA was in place, maybe Canadian businesses could import from the US without any tariffs. But, I, as an individual consumer, couldn’t buy something from the US without being hit with a big duty payment. In addition, the deals often have things in them that prevent participating countries from having sane laws if those laws interfere with businesses at all. For example, the only reason that anti-circumvention measures exist in Canada is that it was a condition of trade deals that Canada adopt the worst parts of the DMCA.

    Future deals should allow individual people to buy things cheaply overseas, and not just allow businesses to do that. They should also address the freer movement of people between countries. And, they shouldn’t prevent countries from adding laws that protect people or the environment.



  • My crimes will be explored in as much depth as possible in any extensive biography

    Probably not. Without any investigation it will all be speculation. Biographies are written for a commercial audience. Who’s going to buy a biography of Andrew? People who like the royals, not people who hate them. If he’d actually appeared in court, the biography would have to address it. But, with it all just speculation, they can mention the speculation and move on.

    It’s possible that some of the people who met with Epstein did it because they knew he could introduce them to other rich and powerful people. They might not have known about the child sexual abuse. Or they suspected something, but thought that Epstein was always seen with barely legal 18-year-olds, and that that was the extent of it.

    I personally don’t think that Epstein introduced himself to billionaires by saying “Hi, I’m Jeff Epstein, I rape children, are you interested in raping children too?” I don’t believe that being a billionaire automatically means you not only enjoy raping children, but are excited to share that hobby with other people. Epstein probably sounded them out, investigated them, and only went into details with the ones who weren’t going to expose him. And, most likely, he got blackmail material on anybody who he did share his “hobby” with. He probably kept anybody who he thought might expose him at arms length, and he only let them see him with girls who were 18+.

    So, while that plausible deniability exists, I’m sure Andrew wants to be able to claim that he was buddies with Epstein, but was so clueless that he never knew about the child sexual abuse.




  • Yeah. Let’s say this extremely unlikely thing does happen. There’s some kind of false flag attack, like a person wearing a Canadian flag does a suicide bomber attack on the US congress or something. An event that riles up Americans enough that there’s enough support for an invasion of Canada that Trump could get away with it.

    Now imagine the result of invading a country where almost none of the locals want you there, and all of the locals can pass for Americans. European countries might be too cowardly to actually send their armies against the US for doing that. But, they would almost certainly find a way to fund and train Canadian freedom fighters. The Canadian / American border is completely indefensible. It’s simply too big to ever be properly guarded.

    So, you’d have Canadians slipping into the US easily, they’d be trained and armed by Europeans, Australians, Japanese, Koreans, and all the other former US allies. And, once in the states they’d have no problem finding support networks to help them attack American targets.

    Just because Trump would be insane to try this doesn’t mean he wouldn’t do it. With their massive propaganda networks in place, they might get a fair number of Americans to support it, at least at first. But, the most they could ever hope for is a Pyrrhic victory.



  • This is why lawyers advise clients to use a PIN instead of face ID or fingerprints

    That’s because cops don’t need a warrant if you use a face or fingerprints, but they do if you use a PIN. What you’re talking about is for protection against casual, warrantless searches.

    What I’m talking about is a subpoena where you’re required to present evidence. The fact that it’s encrypted is irrelevant. If the data is subject to a subpoena it doesn’t matter if you store it encrypted or unencrypted, you’re still required to present it to the court.

    If you keep you stuff updated

    Keeping stuff updated is a chore, and it can take hours out of your week, often when you don’t expect it or don’t have time. When that’s someone’s full time job and they’re updating it for hundreds, thousands or millions or people, there’s a better chance they do it right, and a much better chance that they do it in a timely fashion.

    I am not your lawyer and this is not legal advice for you or anyone who reads this.

    I hope you’re not anybody’s lawyer, with your lack of knowledge of the law. Did you graduate from Dunning-Kruger law school?


  • Communication that can’t be shut down: Matrix, Mastodon, email servers you control

    Uh, those can all be shut down. You may control the server but you don’t control the datacenter the email server lives in, unless you’re hosting out of your house, which is a bad idea. You also don’t control the pipes to and from these servers. There have been many plans over the years requiring that ISPs ban users who are accused of copyright infringement. And, even if you don’t infringe copyrights, we all know about how the DMCA can be weaponized against people who have done nothing wrong.

    File storage that can’t be subpoenaed: Nextcloud, Syncthing

    Sorry, your own file storage can be subpoenaed, you just don’t have a lawyer on call to help you through the process. If you think “haha, I’ll just delete the data”, you can be in much worse trouble. AFAIK in some cases the judge / jury are allowed to assume that evidence that you deleted was incriminating.

    I self-host things and think it’s a good idea. But, don’t go overboard with how good it is. It’s still vulnerable to government and corporate actions. in many cases you’re more vulnerable because you’re on your own, you probably don’t have a lawyer on retainer, etc.


  • I get the cynicism, but there was something to the “Rules Based International Order”. In the past, the US trade representative might have strong-armed countries into certain deals, but when the deals were signed, they were generally honoured. When Germany and Mexico had a dispute over tariffs or something, it was accepted that the way to resolve it was with communication, mediation, and maybe courts. It wasn’t to use violence, bribes, extra-judicial killing, espionage, etc.

    The change under Trump just shows how much of the system was taken for granted. Now, the world is having to adjust to the fact that treaties signed by the US are meaningless, and that we’re back to a world of bribes and military force.


  • The FIFA thing is so strange. They have such a long history of obvious corruption that I don’t think anybody has a positive impression of them. If they actually gave a real award to an actually deserving group, I think most people would wonder what the catch was.

    So, when a massively corrupt organization like FIFA gives an award for peace to a warmongering autocrat, who exactly do they think they’re fooling? Why do they even bother going through the motions? Are there people out there that think “Wow, FIFA is a credible organization, and they specialize in peace, so this must indicate that Trump is a force for peace in the world!” It doesn’t even work with the MAGA faithful, because they have no idea what FIFA is.