jaxxed

The Baltics are in a much stronger position than Ukraine. They are in Nato already, and are geographically important as a buffer to the only Nato members who actually take Russia as a serious threat (Norway, Sweden, Finland and Poland.) Tactically, air and sea defence of the Baltics is externally feasible, and the Baltics nations have focused on building land defense over the recent years. If you combine this with the obvious Russian war fatigue, and lack of resources, it is clear the Russia doesn’t have the capacity to invade the Baltics over the next two years at least, even if the Belarusians participated.

All of this becomes even harder if the Russians are gifted Ukraine and have to occupy it militarily.

I don’t think that Israelis en masse want a a war with Iran, but Bibi appears to.

This is an example of why erosion of public confidence in democratic institutions is a critical problem. We want to be able to follow an institutional opinion on this topic, but our trust has been eroded by another topic, which makes it less trustworthy.

You might say that the China housing bubble has already popped. I haven’t kept up over the last few weeks, but prices were plummeting weeks ago, and volume was massive.