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Joined 12 days ago
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Cake day: February 8th, 2026

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  • I suppose at some point people might be figuring out that Putin is not the same as Russia and that they are better off with a different set of institutions.

    I have a feeling they won’t figure that out. I was talking with a person here in Finland just a few months ago, and they said “Putin is not a good president, but all the other options we have are even worse”.

    …which is an absolutely bonkers thing to say. Who on Earth would be worse for the Russia than Putin is? Nobody else would have elected to continue this war once it was clear that Kremlin had fucked up. Even if they would have been bad, there’s almost no way they could have been worse than what Putin is doing now.

    But still, that’s what the otherwise completely adequate-seeming Russian told me. The inability to see how bad Putin really is, is extremely deep in that people. The thought of Putin as the father figure of the whole country is so ingrained in the Russians’ heads that it will be only the generation after the next one that will be clear of it. And then the Russia can maybe start developing into a third-word country at least. And then maybe even back to being a second-world country.


  • The past for years experts have been talking about this going to happen around 2025 or at latest 2026. Because it has been inevitable, it has made sense factoring that into the strategies.

    Many reporters have written about it in a way that has made it look different, but already in late 2022, experts who actually know the subject were talking about mid-to-late 2025 as the limit for the economy of the Russia. They did it get wrong by about half a year, but overall, I’d say the prediction was very accurate.

    What was assumed that since the impending economical crash of the Russia was visible already in 2022, the Russia would have drawn the conclusions and left Ukraine. And therefore, by all logic, the economical crash of the Russia should have ended the war already in 2022 or 2023. But instead, the Russia decided to go for a suicide instead, because that’s what its people decided they want.









  • I’m very happy about this!

    The state-backed alternative does not support comments under community posts, which has been an important feature for the Russian military to learn about what really works and what doesn’t.

    Now that everything else is blocked, they have only the very bad state-developed app available for use. And that means, the Russian military campaign is not able to murder Ukrainian civilians as long as it did throughout 2025.